WALT Model 2 Tornado Forecast Archive

Missed one storm last night April 8, 2024, in Pittsburgh County Oklahoma. Otherwise over the 90th percentile in severe storm forecasts as of the date. Tornado forecasts were 100% last night and over the 90th percentile in that class of severe forecasts as well.

Results for April 1, 2024, WALT Model 2 Forecasts:

Far Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas: 100% accurate on tornado forecasts warning potential within 30 miles.

Far Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas: 47% accurate on severe t-storm warning potential.

Northeast Oklahoma 100% accurate on tornado forecasts warning potential within 30 miles.

Northeast Oklahoma 63% accurate on severe t-storm warning potential.

Central Oklahoma 100% on tornado warning potential within 30 miles.

Central Oklahoma 73% accurate on severe t-storm warning potential.

Southeast Oklahoma 91% accurate on tornado forecasts warning potential within 30 miles.

Southeast Oklahoma 36% accurate on severe t-storm warning potential. Atoka, Bryan, Pittsburg, Latimer,

Overall, 76% accurate on severe thunderstorm warning potential and 92.4% accurate on tornado and no tornado warning potential for the year!

March 25, 2024: Accurate Forecast of no severe storms! This increases the tornado and severe t-storm accuracy of the model. Government models had a risk of severe weather.

Overall, 97.2% accurate on severe thunderstorm warning potential and 87% accurate on tornado and no tornado warning potential for the year!

Arkansas Archived Forecasts March 14, 2024:

Benton County Archived Forecasts:

March 14, 2024: Accurate on tornado warning potential. Accurate on severe t-storm warning potential.

Washington County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning potential. Inaccurate on tornado warning potential.

Carrol County Arkansas.

Carroll County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning potential. Inaccurate on tornado warning potential.

Boone County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning potential.

Madison County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning.

Crawford County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning potential. Inaccurate on tornado warning potential.

Sebastian County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning potential. Inaccurate on tornado warning potential.

Franklin County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning.

Scott County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning.

Polk County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning.

Johnson County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning.

Logan County Archived Forecasts:

Non-accurate on warnings. No warnings issued but severe t-storm warning was forecast.

Pope County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning.

Newton County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning.

Oklahoma Archived Forecasts March 14, 2024:

Le Flore County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning potential. Inaccurate on tornado warning potential.

Sequoyah County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning potential. Inaccurate on tornado warning potential.

Haskell County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning.

Latimer County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning.

Pushmataha County Archived Forecasts:

Accurate on severe t-storm warning.

94.4% accurate on severe thunderstorm warning potential March 14, 2024...

Hail and wind were reported in many counties.

74% accurate on tornado and no tornado warning potential March 14, 2024.

No tornadoes occurred...

Government models had the whole area under a tornado risk. However, our model did not and was more accurate.

WAHT Hurricane Model Beats Bureau of Meteorology Model on Landfall of Cyclone IISASONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "Major Cyclone Heading for Pardoo and Shire of East Pilbara Australia https://t.co/8T5O2WouqF #shireofeastpilbara #Pardoo My model ate Bom's model up like a pork belly pig political lunching." / Twitter WAHT Hurricane...

WALT Model 2 forecasts EF-4 tornado and Issues Tornado Disaster(1) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "WALT Model 2 TORNADO EMERGENCY NEAR NUGENT IOWA. EF-3 TO EF-4. GET UNDERGROUND." / Twitter

EF-3 tornado Hits Little Rock Arkansas WALT Model 2 Forecast Tornado 1 Hour in Advance(1) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "Early warning people in Little Rock south of the NWS location should prepare for the storm coming from Hot Springs. If this storm holds it will track south of NWS headquarters and toward Sherwood. WALT Model 2 in...

CH4 Increase Measured for Violent Tornado Potential TodayWhen measured over the last couple of days, an increase in CH4 release was noted through 2 of the five measurements. This means that tornadoes will have a 40% probability of being violent today. NO3 increase from polarity is expected within storm rai...

WALT Model 2 Forecasts Tornado Intensity 2 Minutes Before TornadoSONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "WALT Model 2 indicates a storm near Shorter AL has a 48% probability of producing a tornado EF-0 to EF-2." / Twitter

WALT Model 2 Indicates EF-4 Tornado Through New Live Ground Rotation Model Beats NWS on Tornado Emergency by 4 Minutes(1) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "WALT MODEL 2 INDICATES EF-3 to EF-4 near Ratliff Landing Mississippi. Tornado Emergency." / Twitter

WALT Model Experimental Tornado Ground Rotation Surface Damage DetectionWALT Model Experimental Tornado Ground Rotation Surface Damage Detection indicated an 80% probability tornado was on the ground. A spotter report through live stream said a tornado was on the ground but no confirmation was reported. This is like...

WALT Model Predicted Damage as tornado was hitting Near Mustang Oklahoma Feb 26 2023Click the link to see an accurate forecast of intensity from that night. (1) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "Max Olson reports a tornado on the ground near Mustang Oklahoma 5 minutes ago. The model indicates if it is a tornado EF-1." / Twitter

WALT Model 2 Forecast Mustang Oklahoma Tornado Three Days in Advance on TwitterWALT Model 2 forecast the Mustang Oklahoma tornado 3 days in advance on Twitter. (1) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "EF-0 to EF-2 tornadoes will be possible across Western/Central Oklahoma between 3 P.M. and 11 P.M. Sunday. Mustang, Moore, and Okl....

Tropical System Nicole Expected Landfall in FloridaTropical System Nicole Expected Landfall in Florida in the city of Hobe Sound late on the day of the 9th or 10th of November. Storm surge of 3 to 7 feet and winds of 51 to 76 mph. Nicole still has the potential to become a low-end hurricane. Be ready...

Oklahoma House Tornado Forecasts Eight Year Study Stats Day by Day Tornado Warning by Warning> year presence year.n=year-2014> tornado summary(tornado)Call:glm(formula = presence ~ year.n, family = binomial)Devian...

Hurricane Ian...Our model was the only one to predict landfall and storm surge exactly.A meteorologist from the National Weather Service in Chicago said that our wind model and hurricane Ian's storm surge and landfall prediction on Twitter and Youtube were impressive. SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC's hurricane storm surge and wind model predict....

WALT Model 2 Predicts Damage Intensity of Tornado Near Shawnee Oklahoma Feb. 26. 2023Feb. 26, 2023, WALT Model 2 forecasted the damage intensity of the tornado before it occurred. (1) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "Tornado warning for areas near Prague Oklahoma EF-0 to EF-2 indicated by the model if the rotation can develop on the...

WALT Model 2 Forecast Tornado Intensity Near Bethel Oklahoma March 2, 2023NWS Shreveport rated tornado EF-1 just northwest of Broken Bow. (1) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "Tornado warning near Bethel Oklahoma model indicates EF-1 if rotation comes to the ground." / Twitter

WALT Model 2 Forecast Tornado Intensity of Tornado Near Fouke Arkansas March 2, 2023NWS Shreveport rated the Miller County Arkansas tornado EF-1 (1) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "Tornado warning near Fouke Arkansas model indicates EF-1 if rotation comes to the ground." / Twitter

WALT Model 2 Forecast Tornado Intensity Near Mount Vernon Texas March 2, 2023NWS Shreveport rated the tornado EF-0. WALT Model 2 was off by 6 miles per hour on intensity rating but still accurate. (1) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "The tornado warning near Mount Vernon Texas model indicates EF-1 if rotation comes to the gr...

Police Chief Testimony While Testing WALT Model 1 Forecast for The First Time(39) Picture 043 - YouTube

WALT Model 2 Forecasts Tornado near Cool Texas 4 Days in Advance with Exact EF-1 Damage ScaleWALT Model 2 Discussion for March 23, 2023 - Payhip

WALT Model 2 Predicts New Orleans Tornado EF-2 December 14, 2022 Before NWS Can Do SurveySONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "@ZackFradellaWx @FOX8NOLA NWS declared tornado EF-2 and my model declared tornado EF-2 as well. It is the best thing going in the meteorology field. I even have a new hurricane model that has subset models of tornado...

Snow Model Ironwood Michigan Stats AccuracyNull hypothesis says: SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC snow model forecast mean would not be significantly different than the actual snow occurrence mean in Ironwood Michigan.SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC Snow Model forecast t-tail critical value had no significant diffe...

WALT Model 2 Hits Tornado Forecast in Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex before NWS Tornado WarningUpdate: Hail Wind & Tornado Potential for ThursdayMarch 16, 2023For the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex mostly a non-polar and polar mixing is expected from this model through thunderstorm development. This should hamper tornado formation with Thursd...

WALT Model 2 Wind Subset Accurate as Tree Falls Under Area Where Wind was Forecast at 61 MPHSONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "A downed tree from t-storm winds near Lockesburg Ar. WAS REPORTED. WALT MODEL 2 HAD WIND GUSTS TO 61 POSSIBLE." / Twitter

WALT Model 2 Forecast Tornado Intensity near Gulfport Mississippi Dec. 14, 2022NWS declared tornado EF-1 near Biloxi Mississippi. (2) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "Tornado warning near Gulfport Miss. in which the model has indicated if rotation forms to the ground an EF-0 is possible." / Twitter The tornado was declared EF-...

WALT Model 2 Forecasts Tornado Intensity Near Tilton Mississippi Feb. 8, 2023NWS in Jackson Mississippi declared the tornado near Tilton Mississippi was an EF-1. (2) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "Model declares tornado EF-1 near Tilton MS this evening." / Twitter This was a direct hit for WALT model 2 intensity forecastin...

WALT Model 2 Forecasts Tornado Intensity of Orange-Calcasieu Tornado Jan. 24, 2023NWS declares the tornado from Orange-Calcasieu EF-2 at 120 mph winds on Jan. 24, 2023. (2) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "The tornado warning near Morgan Bluff Texas model says EF-1 if the rotation can form on the ground." / Twitter WALT Model 2 f...

Severe Weather and EF-1 Tornadoes Possible on Saturday SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC WALT Model 2Click this link for severe weather information from WALT Model 2 Tornado Intensity Tracking. SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC Tornado Intensity Tracking - Payhip

WALT Model 2 Forecast Intensity of the Tornado Near Twitty Texas Feb. 26, 2023NWS Amarillo declared tornado EF-1 with 110 mp winds near Twitty Texas. (1) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "Tornado warning for areas near Wheeler Texas EF-2 indicated by the model if the rotation can develop on the ground." / Twitter The WALT Mode...

WALT Model 2 in measurementsWALT Model 2 in measurements indicates any supercell tornado that develops off the Canadian River and approaches Moore Oklahoma will likely be an EF-3 to EF-4.

WALT Model 2 Predicts Tornado Near Atlanta Texas to the Exact Intensity 24 Hours in AdvanceNWS declares tornado near Atlanta Texas EF-1. (1) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "EF-1 tornadoes are possible in Northeast Texas. Specifically near Atlanta Texas." / Twitter

WALT Model 2 Using Residual Ground Data Predicted Tornado Intensity After Event.NWS in Paducah Kentucky declares tornado near Paducah Kentucky EF2. (1) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "The tornado near Paducah Kentucky ran off of residual ground information came back as an EF-1 according to the model." / Twitter This was only 1...

WALT Model 2, 54 Minute Early Tornado Intensity Alert for Northern Tarrant County Texas Dec. 14, 2022 AccurateNWS in Fort Worth Declared tornado EF-1. (1) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "Back to the forecast of tornado potential from the model about 54 minutes ago for areas between Hazlet and Richland Hills is still intact in Northern Tarrant County accord...

WALT Model 2 Forecast Intensity of the Tornado Near Pershing Indiana Feb. 27, 2023NWS in Louisville Kentucky declared the tornado EF-1. (1) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "Tornado warning for areas near Pershing Indiana EF-0 to EF-2 indicated by the model if the rotation can develop on the ground." / Twitter

WALT Model 2 Forecast Intensity of the Jessieville Arkansas Tornado January 2, 2023NWS Little Rock declared a tornado near Jessieville Arkansas EF-1 on January 2, 2023. (1) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "THE TORNADO WARNING NEAR JESSIEVILLE ARKANSAS MODEL INDICATES IF ROTATION CAN FORM ON THE GROUND EF-1 IS POSSIBLE." / Twitter

WALT Model 2 Forecast Intensity of the Shreveport Tornado March 2, 2023The NWS in Shreveport has declared this tornado EF-1. It is the tornado that hit Shreveport indicated on the forecast on Twitter. (1) SONFIRE ALMANACS LLC on Twitter: "Tornado warning near Couchwood Louisiana model indicates EF-1 if rotation comes t....

WALT Model 2 Predicts EF-4 Tornado in Mississippi and is AccurateUpdate: WALT Model 2 Severe Weather Forecast Friday STRONG TO VIOLENT TORNADOES POSSIBLE - Payhip